Basel
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 34
May 21, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
St. Jakob-Park
Lugano

Basel
1 - 1
Lugano

Zeqiri (34')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Steffen (84')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Basel and Lugano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Basel

All competitions
Swiss Super League
Last Game: Basel 1-3 Fiorentina
Thursday, May 18 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Lugano

All competitions
Last Game: Lugano 2-1 Winterthur
Sunday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 37.23% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.26%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.

Result
BaselDrawLugano
38.74% (0.021999999999998 0.02)24.03% (0.012 0.01)37.23% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 61.34% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.97% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)41.03% (0.062000000000005 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.58% (-0.064 -0.06)63.42% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.7% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)21.3% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.76% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)54.24% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.94% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)22.05% (0.047999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.61% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)55.39% (0.073 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Basel 38.74%
    Lugano 37.23%
    Draw 24.03%
BaselDrawLugano
2-1 @ 8.49% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 7.26% (0.017 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.62% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.38%
3-2 @ 3.31% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.9% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.12% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 38.74%
1-1 @ 10.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.7% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.67% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 24.03%
1-2 @ 8.3% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 7.1% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.37%
1-3 @ 4.18% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.23% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.58% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.22% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.02% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 37.23%

Head to Head
Feb 26, 2023 3.30pm
gameweek 22
Lugano
2-2
Basel
Celar (33'), Aliseda (38')
Hajdari (90+4'), Hajrizi (90+2')
Males (74'), Lang (83')
Vogel (4'), Xhaka (31'), Burger (42'), Fink (68'), Lang (90+3')
Oct 9, 2022 3.30pm
gameweek 10
Lugano
1-0
Basel
Mahou (33')
Sabbatini (24')
Aug 14, 2022 3.30pm
gameweek 5
Basel
0-2
Lugano

Xhaka (32')
Babic (90+1'), Mahmoud (90+4')
Arigoni (4'), Daprela (42'), Valenzuela (87'), Saipi (90+2')
May 22, 2022 3.30pm
gameweek 36
Basel
2-1
Lugano
Males (6'), Kasami (71')
Ndoye (30'), Pavlovic (34'), Kasami (72')
Kasami (74')
El Amine Amoura (27')
Ruegg (59'), Mahmoud (62')
Mahmoud (90+2')
Mar 6, 2022 1.15pm
gameweek 25
Lugano
0-2
Basel

Hajrizi (12'), Lovric (16'), Daprela (72')
Chalov (9'), Males (90+3')
Stocker (33'), Lopez (40'), Chalov (53'), Xhaka (76')