/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fgenlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fromlog.png)
-
Albert Gudmundsson
5'
-
Kevin Strootman
26'
-
Stefano Sabelli
37'
-
Mateo Retegui
45'
-
Mateo Retegui
65'
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Morten Thorsby
74'
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Mattia Bani
75'
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Junior Messias
81'
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Bryan Cristante
22'
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Gianluca Mancini
42'
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Leandro Paredes
75'
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Houssem Aouar
89'
Genoa vs Roma - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.94%) and 1-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (11.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
Result
Genoa
30.66%
▲
(+0.52)
Draw
29.04%
▲
(+0.09)
Roma
40.29%
▼
(-0.61)
Both Teams to Score:
43.94%
▼
(-0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5
37.42%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 2.5
62.58%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 3.5
17.84%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 3.5
82.16%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 4.5
7.12%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 4.5
92.87%
▲
(+0.07)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5
63.16%
▲
(+0.32)
Under 0.5
36.84%
▼
(-0.32)
Over 1.5
26.37%
▲
(+0.32)
Under 1.5
73.63%
▼
(-0.32)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5
69.57%
▼
(-0.43)
Under 0.5
30.42%
▲
(+0.43)
Over 1.5
33.37%
▼
(-0.51)
Under 1.5
66.62%
▲
(+0.51)
Score analysis
Genoa
30.66%
Draw
29.03%
Roma
40.29%
Genoa
1-0
@
11.19%
▲
(+0.17)
2-1 @ 6.65% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 5.59% ▲ (+0.13)
3-1 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 30.66%
2-1 @ 6.65% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 5.59% ▲ (+0.13)
3-1 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 30.66%
Draw
1-1
@
13.31%
▲
(+0.04)
0-0 @ 11.2% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 29.03%
0-0 @ 11.2% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 29.03%
Roma
0-1
@
13.33%
▼
(-0.09)
0-2 @ 7.94% ▼ (-0.15)
1-2 @ 7.92% ▼ (-0.08)
0-3 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.10)
1-3 @ 3.14% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 40.29%
0-2 @ 7.94% ▼ (-0.15)
1-2 @ 7.92% ▼ (-0.08)
0-3 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.10)
1-3 @ 3.14% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 40.29%
