Serie A Gameweek 8
Cagliari
Oct 8, 2023 5.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT Sardegna Arena
Roma
  • Ibrahim Sulemana 14' yellowcard
  • Adam Obert 61' yellowcard
  • Nahitan Nandez 87' goal
  • Jose Mourinho 44'+44' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leandro Paredes 11'
  • goal Houssem Aouar 19'
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 20'
  • yellowcard Houssem Aouar 32'
  • yellowcard Jose Mourinho 44'
  • yellowcard Edoardo Bove 45'+2'
  • goal Andrea Belotti 51'
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 59'

Cagliari vs Roma - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions
Last game
Oct 2, 2023 7.45pm
Fiorentina 3 - 0 Cagliari
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Nicolas Viola

Roma

All competitions
Last game
Oct 1, 2023 7.45pm
Roma 2 - 0 Frosinone
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Romelu Lukaku

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 29.09% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result

Cagliari 29.09% ▲ (+0.84)
Draw 27.95% ▼ (-0.05)
Roma 42.96% ▼ (-0.79)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.24% ▲ (+0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.6% ▲ (+0.50)
Under 2.5 59.39% ▼ (-0.51)
Over 3.5 20.22% ▲ (+0.39)
Under 3.5 79.77% ▼ (-0.39)
Over 4.5 8.46% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 4.5 91.53% ▼ (-0.23)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5 63.68% ▲ (+0.94)
Under 0.5 36.32% ▼ (-0.95)
Over 1.5 26.89% ▲ (+0.94)
Under 1.5 73.1% ▼ (-0.95)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5 72.61% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 0.5 27.39% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 1.5 37.14% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 1.5 62.86% ▲ (+0.24)

Score analysis

Cagliari 29.08%
Draw 27.94%
Roma 42.96%
Cagliari
1-0 @ 10.07% ▲ (+0.08)
2-1 @ 6.61% ▲ (+0.18)
2-0 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.17)
3-1 @ 2.23% ▲ (+0.12)
3-0 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.10)
3-2 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 29.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.04% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 9.95% ▼ (-0.19)
2-2 @ 4.28% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.94%
Roma
0-1 @ 12.88% ▼ (-0.31)
1-2 @ 8.45% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 8.34% ▼ (-0.25)
1-3 @ 3.65% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.13)
2-3 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.04)
1-4 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 42.96%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 22
Roma
Jan 16, 2022 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Cagliari
  • Jan Oliveras 23' yellowcard
  • Jan Oliveras 33' goal
  • Gianluca Mancini 39' yellowcard
  • Felix Afena-Gyan 58' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leonardo Pavoletti 25'
  • yellowcard Andrea Carboni 27'
  • yellowcard Dalbert Henrique 32'
  • yellowcard Giorgio Altare 70'
Serie A Gameweek 10
Cagliari
Oct 27, 2021 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Roma
  • Leonardo Pavoletti 52' goal
  • Joao Pedro 73' yellowcard
  • Charalampos Lykogiannis 77' yellowcard
  • Raoul Bellanova 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolo Zaniolo 38'
  • goal Ibanez 71'
  • goal Lorenzo Pellegrini 78'
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Pellegrini 79'
  • yellowcard Tammy Abraham 80'
  • yellowcard Riccardo Calafiori 83'
Serie A Gameweek 33
Cagliari
Apr 25, 2021 5.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Roma
  • Charalampos Lykogiannis 4' goal
  • Razvan Marin 53' yellowcard
  • Razvan Marin 57' goal
  • Joao Pedro 64' goal
  • Joao Pedro 80' yellowcard
  • Alfred Duncan 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Carles Perez 27'
  • goal Federico Fazio 69'
  • yellowcard Bryan Cristante 83'
Serie A Gameweek 14
Roma
Dec 23, 2020 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Cagliari
  • Jordan Veretout 11' goal
  • Bryan Cristante 19' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Mancini 37' yellowcard
  • Marash Kumbulla 60' yellowcard
  • Edin Dzeko 71' goal
  • Gianluca Mancini 77' goal
  • yellowcard Gabriele Zappa 20'
  • yellowcard Nahitan Nandez 29'
  • goal Joao Pedro 59'
  • goal Joao Pedro 90'+1'
Serie A Gameweek 26
Cagliari
Mar 1, 2020 5.00pm
3
4
HT : 1 2
FT Sardegna Arena
Roma
  • Joao Pedro 28' goal
  • Joao Pedro 35' yellowcard
  • Giovanni Simeone 69' yellowcard
  • Gaston Pereiro 75' goal
  • Luca Pellegrini 80' yellowcard
  • Joao Pedro 89' goal
  • Daniele Ragatzu 90' yellowcard
  • goal Nikola Kalinic 29'
  • yellowcard Cengiz Under 34'
  • goal Nikola Kalinic 41'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Villar 55'
  • goal Justin Kluivert 64'
  • yellowcard Justin Kluivert 78'
  • goal Henrikh Mkhitaryan 81'
  • yellowcard Davide Santon 90'
  • yellowcard Pau Lopez 90'
Serie A Gameweek 7
Roma
Oct 6, 2019 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Olimpico (Roma)
Cagliari
  • Luca Ceppitelli 31' goal
  • Aleksandar Kolarov 44' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luca Ceppitelli 11'
  • yellowcard Luca Cigarini 16'
  • goal Joao Pedro 26'
  • yellowcard Giovanni Simeone 33'
  • yellowcard Luca Pellegrini 80'

Form Data

Fiorentina 3 - 0 Cagliari
Cagliari 1 - 3 AC Milan
Atalanta 2 - 0 Cagliari
Cagliari 0 - 0 Udinese
Bologna 2 - 1 Cagliari
Cagliari 0 - 2 Inter Milan
Roma 4 - 0 Servette
Roma 2 - 0 Frosinone
Genoa 4 - 1 Roma
Torino 1 - 1 Roma
Sheriff Tiraspol 1 - 2 Roma
Roma 7 - 0 Empoli