Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 8

Oct 8, 2023 at 5pm UK

Sardegna Arena

Cagliari
1 - 4
Roma

Nandez (87' pen.)
Sulemana (14'), Mourinho (44+44'), Obert (61')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Aouar (19'), Lukaku (20', 59'), Belotti (51')
Paredes (11'), Aouar (32'), Mourinho (44'), Bove (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions

Last Game: Fiorentina 3-0 Cagliari
Monday, October 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Roma 4-0 Servette
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 29.09% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Cagliari	Draw	Roma
29.09% ( 0.83)	27.95% ( -0.05)	42.96% ( -0.79)

Both teams to score 46.24% (

0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.6% (

0.5)

59.39% (

-0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.22% (

0.38)

79.77% (

-0.39)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.68% (

0.93)

36.32% (

-0.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.89% (

0.93)

73.1% (

-0.94)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.61% (

-0.19)

27.39% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.14% (

-0.24)

62.86% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Cagliari 29.08%

Roma 42.96%

Draw 27.94%

Cagliari	Draw	Roma
1-0 @ 10.07% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.91% Total : 29.08%	1-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.94%	0-1 @ 12.88% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 8.45% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 8.34% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.85% Total : 42.96%