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Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 26, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Slavia Prague

Roma
2 - 0
Slavia Prague

Bove (1'), Lukaku (17')
Bove (23'), N'Dicka (68')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Masopust (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Roma and Slavia Prague, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Monza
Sunday, October 22 at 11.30am in Serie A

Slavia Prague

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Slavia Prague 2-0 Slovacko
Saturday, October 21 at 5pm in Czech Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 54.02%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Slavia Prague had a probability of 21.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Slavia Prague win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawSlavia Prague
54.02% (0.00099999999999767 0)24.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)21.94% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.28% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.29% (0.051000000000002 0.05)49.71% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.28% (0.045999999999999 0.05)71.72% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.68% (0.019000000000005 0.02)18.32% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.59% (0.033000000000001 0.03)49.4% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Slavia Prague Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.78% (0.038000000000004 0.04)37.22% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.99% (0.037000000000003 0.04)74.01% (-0.035000000000011 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Roma 54.02%
    Slavia Prague 21.94%
    Draw 24.04%
RomaDrawSlavia Prague
1-0 @ 11.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.82% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 5.56% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.49% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 2.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.33% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 54.02%
1-1 @ 11.43% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.82% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.8% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 24.04%
0-1 @ 6.74% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.33%
1-3 @ 1.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 21.94%

How you voted: Roma vs Slavia Prague

Roma
79.3%
Draw
11.7%
Slavia Prague
9.0%
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