Serie A Gameweek 9
Roma
Oct 22, 2023 11.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
Monza
  • Bryan Cristante 70' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Mancini 78' yellowcard
  • Stephan El Shaarawy 90' goal
  • Jose Mourinho 90'+11' redcard
  • yellowcard Danilo D'Ambrosio 23'
  • redcard Danilo D'Ambrosio 41'
  • yellowcard Pepin 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Pepin 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Raffaele Palladino 87'
  • yellowcard Roberto Gagliardini 90'+7'

Roma vs Monza - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Last game
Oct 8, 2023 5.00pm
Cagliari 1 - 4 Roma
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Romelu Lukaku

Monza

All competitions
Last game
Oct 8, 2023 11.30am
Monza 3 - 0 Salernitana
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Andrea Colpani

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 63.15%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Monza had a probability of 16.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Roma in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Roma.

Result

Roma 63.15% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 20.37% ▼ (-0.04)
Monza 16.48% ▼ (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.69% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.2% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 2.5 41.79% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 35.8% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 3.5 64.2% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 4.5 18.86% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 4.5 81.13% ▼ (-0.07)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5 87.38% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 12.61% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 1.5 61.27% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 38.73% ▼ (-0.11)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5 61.44% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 38.55% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 24.69% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 75.3% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Roma 63.14%
Draw 20.37%
Monza 16.48%
Roma
2-0 @ 10.42%
1-0 @ 10.06% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.93% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.19% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.86% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 3.72% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 3.55% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.27% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 63.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.6% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.86% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.73%
3-3 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.37%
Monza
0-1 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 4.57% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.5%
1-3 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 16.48%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 33
Monza
May 3, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT U-Power Stadium
Roma
  • Luca Caldirola 39' goal
  • goal Stephan El Shaarawy 24'
Serie A Gameweek 4
Roma
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
Monza
  • Paulo Dybala 18' goal
  • Paulo Dybala 32' goal
  • Ibanez 61' goal

Form Data

Cagliari 1 - 4 Roma
Roma 4 - 0 Servette
Roma 2 - 0 Frosinone
Genoa 4 - 1 Roma
Torino 1 - 1 Roma
Sheriff Tiraspol 1 - 2 Roma
Monza 3 - 0 Salernitana
Sassuolo 0 - 1 Monza
Monza 0 - 0 Bologna
Lazio 1 - 1 Monza
Monza 1 - 1 Lecce
Atalanta 3 - 0 Monza