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Serie A | Gameweek 9
Oct 22, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Olimpico
Monza

Roma
1 - 0
Monza

El Shaarawy (90')
Cristante (70'), Mancini (78')
Mourinho (90+11')
FT(HT: 0-0)

D'Ambrosio (23'), Pepin (45+1'), Pepin (45+2'), Palladino (87'), Gagliardini (90+7')
D'Ambrosio (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cagliari 1-4 Roma
Sunday, October 8 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 3-0 Salernitana
Sunday, October 8 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Roma 1-0 Monza

Monza have scored only twice on the road this season - like Roma, they tend to thrive on home soil. Stadio Olimpico is never an easy place to visit, so the Biancorossi's momentum may be checked, as their hosts hand them a first defeat for over a month. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 63.15%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Monza had a probability of 16.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Roma in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Roma.

Result
RomaDrawMonza
63.15% (0.076999999999998 0.08) 20.37% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 16.48% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Both teams to score 53.69% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.2% (0.091999999999999 0.09)41.79% (-0.092000000000006 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.8% (0.092999999999996 0.09)64.2% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.38% (0.049000000000007 0.05)12.61% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.27% (0.104 0.1)38.73% (-0.103 -0.1)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.44% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)38.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.69% (0.004999999999999 0)75.3% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Roma 63.14%
    Monza 16.48%
    Draw 20.37%
RomaDrawMonza
2-0 @ 10.42%
1-0 @ 10.06% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 7.19% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.86% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.72% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.55% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.27% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.69% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.54% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.47% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 63.14%
1-1 @ 9.6% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.86% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.73%
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.37%
0-1 @ 4.64% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.57% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.21% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.5%
1-3 @ 1.45% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 16.48%

How you voted: Roma vs Monza

Roma
86.3%
Draw
10.0%
Monza
3.8%
80
Head to Head
May 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 33
Monza
1-1
Roma
Caldirola (39')
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Roma
3-0
Monza
Dybala (18', 32'), Ibanez (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan33275179186186
2AC Milan34217664392570
3Juventus341811547262165
4Bologna331711548262262
5Roma33177959392058
6Lazio34174134335855
7Atalanta BCAtalanta321661059372254
8Napoli331310105041949
9Fiorentina32138114536947
10Torino33111393129246
11Monza341111123644-844
12Genoa33912123540-539
13Lecce34812143149-1836
14CagliariCagliari33711153656-2032
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona34710173145-1431
16FrosinoneFrosinone34710174363-2031
17Empoli3387182648-2231
18Udinese33416133150-1928
19SassuoloSassuolo3368193965-2626
RSalernitana3429232673-4715


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