Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 57.08%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 19.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.