Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 45.93%. A win for Monza had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | Monza |
| 45.93% ( | 23.95% ( | 30.13% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.36% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.34% ( | 42.67% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.93% ( | 65.07% ( |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.22% ( | 18.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.81% ( | 50.19% ( |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.08% ( | 26.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.75% ( | 62.25% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sassuolo | Draw | Monza |
| 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 1-0 @ 8.46% ( 2-0 @ 7.07% ( 3-1 @ 5.17% ( 3-0 @ 3.94% ( 3-2 @ 3.39% ( 4-1 @ 2.16% ( 4-0 @ 1.65% ( 4-2 @ 1.42% ( Other @ 3.39% Total : 45.93% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( 2-2 @ 6.09% ( 0-0 @ 5.06% ( 3-3 @ 1.48% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.94% | 1-2 @ 7.28% ( 0-1 @ 6.64% ( 0-2 @ 4.35% ( 1-3 @ 3.19% ( 2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0-3 @ 1.9% ( 1-4 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 3.07% Total : 30.13% |