Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 70.32%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Cukaricki had a probability of 12.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.16%), while for a Cukaricki win it was 1-2 (3.57%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.