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Conference League | Group Stage
Oct 26, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
6 - 0
Cukaricki

Beltran (6', 10'), Ikone (29'), Sottil (65'), Martinez (73'), Lopez (83')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Vranjes (6'), Docic (9')
Subotic (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Fiorentina and Cukaricki, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Fiorentina 0-2 Empoli
Monday, October 23 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Cukaricki

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Cukaricki 0-2 Genk
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 70.32%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Cukaricki had a probability of 12.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.16%), while for a Cukaricki win it was 1-2 (3.57%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawCukaricki
70.32% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)17.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)12.27% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
Both teams to score 52.82% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.64% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)37.35% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.43% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)59.57% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)9.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.15% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)31.85% (0.023 0.02)
Cukaricki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.36% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)41.63% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.88% (-0.035 -0.04)78.11% (0.035000000000011 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 70.31%
    Cukaricki 12.27%
    Draw 17.41%
FiorentinaDrawCukaricki
2-0 @ 10.95% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.6%
1-0 @ 9.31% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 8.6% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 5.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 4.44% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 2.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.94% (-0.004 -0)
6-0 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
5-2 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 70.31%
1-1 @ 8.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.21% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 3.95% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 17.41%
1-2 @ 3.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 3.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 1.52%
2-3 @ 1.23% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 12.27%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Cukaricki

Fiorentina
84.4%
Draw
15.6%
Cukaricki
0.0%
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