Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 64.91%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 15.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a Bologna win it was 1-2 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Bologna |
| 64.91% ( | 19.54% ( | 15.54% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.4% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.19% ( | 39.81% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.83% ( | 62.16% ( |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.46% ( | 11.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.55% ( | 36.44% ( |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.49% ( | 38.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.74% ( | 75.26% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiorentina | Draw | Bologna |
| 2-0 @ 10.36% ( 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 1-0 @ 9.59% ( 3-0 @ 7.46% ( 3-1 @ 7.12% ( 4-0 @ 4.03% ( 4-1 @ 3.84% ( 3-2 @ 3.4% ( 4-2 @ 1.83% ( 5-0 @ 1.74% ( 5-1 @ 1.66% ( Other @ 3.99% Total : 64.91% | 1-1 @ 9.15% ( 2-2 @ 4.72% ( 0-0 @ 4.44% ( 3-3 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.54% | 1-2 @ 4.37% ( 0-1 @ 4.24% ( 0-2 @ 2.02% ( 2-3 @ 1.5% ( 1-3 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 2.03% Total : 15.54% |