Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 11

Nov 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna
1 - 0
Lazio

Ferguson (46')
Ferguson (49'), Beukema (56')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pedro (35'), Romagnoli (50'), Alberto (65'), Zaccagni (80'), Isaksen (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bologna

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Bologna 2-0 Hellas Verona
Tuesday, October 31 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lazio 1-0 Fiorentina
Monday, October 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bologna in this match.

Result
Bologna	Draw	Lazio
43.65% ( 0.52)	26.77% ( -0.01)	29.57% ( -0.51)

Both teams to score 49.85% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.08% (

-0.15)

54.91% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.8% (

-0.13)

76.2% (

0.12)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.02% (

0.2)

24.97% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.37% (

0.27)

59.62% (

-0.27)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.44% (

-0.46)

33.55% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.8% (

-0.5)

70.19% (

0.5)

Score Analysis

Bologna 43.64%

Lazio 29.57%

Draw 26.77%

Bologna	Draw	Lazio
1-0 @ 11.62% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.42% Total : 43.64%	1-1 @ 12.69% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.77%	0-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 5% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.4% Total : 29.57%