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Lazio logo
Serie A | Gameweek 25
Feb 12, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Bologna logo

Lazio
3 - 0
Bologna

Immobile (13' pen.), Zaccagni (53', 63')
Alberto (40'), Leiva (59')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Svanberg (20'), Medel (45')

Preview: Lazio vs. Bologna - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Following their chastening Coppa Italia defeat in midweek, Lazio look to bounce back in Serie A on Saturday, as they meet Bologna at Stadio Olimpico.

The visitors' form has dipped in recent weeks, and they have won only one of their last eight league games after a draw with Empoli last time out, while the hosts had edged up into sixth in the standings before their cup loss to Milan.


Match preview

Lazio's Sergej Milinkovic-Savic celebrates after the match with Roma on September 26, 2021© Reuters

All seemed rosy in the Lazio camp after a fine 3-0 win at Fiorentina last Saturday saw the capital club extend their unbeaten run to four games in all competitions.

However, the Biancocelesti - whose first two goals in Florence were scored by star duo Sergej Milinkovic-Savic and Ciro Immobile - were quickly brought back down to earth by Milan on Wednesday night, as they crashed to a 4-0 defeat at San Siro.

Three goals down before the half-time whistle, Maurizio Sarri's men saw an improving defensive record - having just kept a clean sheet in three consecutive Serie A matches for the first time in seven years - torn apart at the hands of the rampant Rossoneri.

Though Lazio still occupy the Europa League qualifying spot in Serie A, their previously stellar home form has begun to slip too, and after previously posting four successive league victories at Stadio Olimpico, the Aquile have won just one of their last five in Rome.

Ahead of Bologna's visit to the capital, though, Lazio have lost only one of their last 20 home matches against the Emilian outfit, scoring 39 goals in the process.

So, after suffering a humbling defeat against one of their former managers in midweek, Sarri and company will expect to fare better when they welcome a Lazio legend back to Roman soil on Saturday.

Bologna coach Sinisa Mihajlovic on January 17, 2022© Reuters

Known for speaking his opinion freely, Bologna coach Sinisa Mihajlovic openly admitted to mixed emotions after he had masterminded the Rossoblu's shock 3-0 win over Lazio in early October.

The former Serbia centre-back even declared: "I'm a Lazio fan, I can't celebrate. We needed this win, but when Lazio suffers, something inside doesn't let me cheer," so his position on the return fixture should be fairly transparent.

Despite such reluctance, Mihajlovic's Bologna have won each of their last two meetings with this weekend's hosts - keeping a clean sheet on both occasions - and after having failed to win any of the previous 15, they could now win three in a row against them for the first time since 1980.

However, to do so will require a swift reversal in their nosediving form, as they have picked up only four points from their last eight games following a 1-1 draw with another side in decline, mid-table rivals Empoli.

Currently 13th in the standings, 10 points above the drop zone and 11 points shy of Lazio in the last guaranteed European place, Bologna could be set for a long tail-end to what had been developing into a promising campaign, if they cannot soon find a first win of 2022.

Away results have been a major part of the Emilians' descent into the bottom half, and before they travel south on Saturday, they have accrued only three wins on the road so far this term - conceding at a rate of almost two goals per game.

Lazio Serie A form:
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W

Lazio form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L

Bologna Serie A form:
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D



Team News

Lazio's Ciro Immobile celebrates scoring their first goal on January 9, 2022© Reuters

Not only were Lazio eliminated from the Coppa Italia in ignominious fashion on Wednesday, but top scorer Ciro Immobile also limped off during the defeat at San Siro. Though the Italy international returned to the fray following treatment, he only lasted a few minutes before being withdrawn by a concerned Maurizio Sarri, so could miss out this weekend.

Once again, Sarri is set to be without Francesco Acerbi - leaving the hosts light in defence; a department which has already conceded 46 goals in domestic competition - and midfielder Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro, both due to injury.

If Immobile is unavailable, even more goalscoring pressure will fall on the broad shoulders of Sergej Milinkovic-Savic, who is one of two midfielders (the other being Dimitri Payet) to have both netted eight or more goals and delivered at least eight assists throughout the top five European leagues.

Meanwhile, the visitors' chief goal threat Marko Arnautovic has scored only six league goals all season, and is goalless in his last eight Serie A appearances - his worst run in European football since mid-2019.

The Austria striker could be supported by Riccardo Orsolini and Roberto Soriano in his lone role up front, though Musa Barrow appeared from the bench last weekend following his return from the Africa Cup of Nations and may now start.

Bologna will have defender Lorenzo De Silvestri sidelined due to suspension, but wing-back Aaron Hickey is now back from a ban and could cover on the right. Meanwhile, midfield pair Kingsley Michael and Nicolas Dominguez remain out injured.

Lazio possible starting lineup:
Strakosha; Hysaj, Felipe, Patric, Marusic; Milinkovic-Savic, Cataldi, Alberto; Pedro, Immobile, Zaccagni

Bologna possible starting lineup:
Skorupski; Theate, Medel, Soumaoro; Hickey, Svanberg, Schouten, Soriano, Dijks; Orsolini; Arnautovic


SM words green background

We say: Lazio 2-1 Bologna

Though concerns remain about their dubious back line, Lazio have perhaps the ideal opponents to come up against following a dispiriting cup loss.

The Aquile's fluent front three will surely give the run around to a Bologna rearguard low on confidence due to recent events, and they can be expected to score at least twice on home soil.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 67.3%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 13.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Bologna win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Lazio vs Bologna

Lazio
87.5%
Draw
11.1%
Bologna
1.4%
72
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Lazio's Sergej Milinkovic-Savic celebrates after the match with Roma on September 26, 2021
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan33275179186186
2AC Milan33216664392569
3Juventus331810547262164
4Bologna331711548262262
5Roma32167957381955
6Atalanta BCAtalanta321661059372254
7Lazio33164134235752
8Napoli331310105041949
9Fiorentina32138114536947
10Torino33111393129246
11Monza331110123543-843
12Genoa33912123540-539
13Lecce33811143048-1835
14CagliariCagliari33711153656-2032
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona33710163144-1331
16Empoli3387182648-2231
17Udinese32416123048-1828
18FrosinoneFrosinone33610174063-2328
19SassuoloSassuolo3368193965-2626
20Salernitana3329222670-4415


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