Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 63.84%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 16.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 1-0 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for a Lazio win it was 1-2 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lazio in this match.