Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 35.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | Bologna |
| 35.69% ( | 24.88% ( | 39.43% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.07% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.8% ( | 45.21% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.45% ( | 67.55% ( |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.22% ( | 24.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.65% ( | 59.35% ( |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.2% ( | 22.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.5% ( | 56.51% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sassuolo | Draw | Bologna |
| 2-1 @ 8.13% ( 1-0 @ 7.88% ( 2-0 @ 5.5% ( 3-1 @ 3.78% ( 3-2 @ 2.8% 3-0 @ 2.56% ( 4-1 @ 1.32% ( 4-2 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.76% Total : 35.69% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0-0 @ 5.65% ( 3-3 @ 1.38% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.88% | 1-2 @ 8.61% ( 0-1 @ 8.35% ( 0-2 @ 6.17% ( 1-3 @ 4.25% ( 0-3 @ 3.04% ( 2-3 @ 2.96% ( 1-4 @ 1.57% ( 0-4 @ 1.13% ( 2-4 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.25% Total : 39.43% |