/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flazlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fatllog_1.png)
-
Charles De Ketelaere
5'
-
Valentin Castellanos
11'
-
Matias Vecino
83'
-
Matias Vecino
84'
-
Maurizio Sarri
86'
-
Ederson
33'
-
Sead Kolasinac
63'
-
Matteo Ruggeri
79'
Lazio vs Atalanta BC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F40%2Flazio.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result
Lazio
42.03%
▼
(-2.43)
Draw
26.73%
▲
(+0.25)
Atalanta BC
31.24%
▲
(+2.18)
Both Teams to Score:
50.75%
▲
(+0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5
45.89%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 2.5
54.11%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 3.5
24.47%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 3.5
75.53%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 4.5
11.02%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 4.5
88.98%
▲
(+0.05)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5
74.56%
▼
(-1.26)
Under 0.5
25.44%
▲
(+1.26)
Over 1.5
39.74%
▼
(-1.76)
Under 1.5
60.26%
▲
(+1.76)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5
68.07%
▲
(+1.55)
Under 0.5
31.93%
▼
(-1.55)
Over 1.5
31.62%
▲
(+1.73)
Under 1.5
68.38%
▼
(-1.73)
Score analysis
Lazio
42.02%
Draw
26.72%
Atalanta BC
31.24%
Lazio
1-0
@
11.11%
▼
(-0.39)
2-1 @ 8.69% ▼ (-0.24)
2-0 @ 7.61% ▼ (-0.55)
3-1 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.27)
3-0 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.39)
3-2 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.15)
4-0 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.19)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 42.02%
2-1 @ 8.69% ▼ (-0.24)
2-0 @ 7.61% ▼ (-0.55)
3-1 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.27)
3-0 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.39)
3-2 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.15)
4-0 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.19)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 42.02%
Draw
1-1
@
12.69%
▲
(+0.12)
0-0 @ 8.12% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.72%
0-0 @ 8.12% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.72%
Atalanta BC
0-1
@
9.27%
▲
(+0.42)
1-2 @ 7.25% ▲ (+0.37)
0-2 @ 5.29% ▲ (+0.45)
1-3 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.25)
0-3 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.25)
2-3 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 31.24%
1-2 @ 7.25% ▲ (+0.37)
0-2 @ 5.29% ▲ (+0.45)
1-3 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.25)
0-3 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.25)
2-3 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 31.24%