Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 8

Oct 8, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
3 - 2
Atalanta

De Ketelaere (5' og.), Castellanos (11'), Vecino (83')
Vecino (84')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Ederson (33'), Kolasinac (63')
Ruggeri (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Celtic 1-2 Lazio
Wednesday, October 4 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 1-2 Atalanta
Thursday, October 5 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Atalanta BC
42.03% ( -2.42)	26.73% ( 0.24)	31.24% ( 2.18)

Both teams to score 50.75% (

0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.89% (

-0.09)

54.11% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.47% (

-0.08)

75.53% (

0.07)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.56% (

-1.26)

25.44% (

1.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.74% (

-1.75)

60.26% (

1.75)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.07% (

1.54)

31.93% (

-1.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.62% (

1.72)

68.38% (

-1.73)

Score Analysis

Lazio 42.02%

Atalanta BC 31.24%

Draw 26.72%

Lazio	Draw	Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 11.11% ( -0.38) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.24) 2-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.54) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.26) 3-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.39) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.18) Other @ 2.37% Total : 42.02%	1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.72%	0-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.41) 1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.36) 0-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.45) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.25) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.25) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.77% Total : 31.24%