Serie A Gameweek 15
Atalanta
Dec 9, 2023 5.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Gewiss Stadium
AC Milan
  • Ademola Lookman 38' goal
  • Ademola Lookman 55' goal
  • Ederson 72' yellowcard
  • Luis Muriel 90'+5' goal
  • goal Olivier Giroud 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Tijjani Reijnders 71'
  • goal Luka Jovic 80'
  • yellowcard Davide Calabria 80'
  • yellowcard Luka Jovic 88'
  • yellowcard Ismael Bennacer 90'+2'
  • redcard Davide Calabria 90'+3'

Atalanta BC vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Last game
Dec 4, 2023 7.45pm
Torino 3 - 0 Atalanta
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Gianluca Scamacca

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Dec 2, 2023 7.45pm
AC Milan 3 - 1 Frosinone
Goals scored
76
Top scorer
Olivier Giroud

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 46.69%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result

Atalanta BC 46.69% ▲ (+1.62)
Draw 25.73% ▼ (-0.12)
AC Milan 27.58% ▼ (-1.51)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.77% ▼ (-0.65)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.16% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 2.5 51.84% ▲ (+0.38)
Over 3.5 26.4% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 3.5 73.59% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 4.5 12.26% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 4.5 87.74% ▲ (+0.22)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5 77.81% ▲ (+0.59)
Under 0.5 22.19% ▼ (-0.59)
Over 1.5 44.4% ▲ (+0.88)
Under 1.5 55.6% ▼ (-0.88)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 66.54% ▼ (-1.35)
Under 0.5 33.46% ▲ (+1.35)
Over 1.5 29.91% ▼ (-1.50)
Under 1.5 70.09% ▲ (+1.50)

Score analysis

Atalanta BC 46.68%
Draw 25.72%
AC Milan 27.58%
Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 11.17% ▲ (+0.35)
2-1 @ 9.21% ▲ (+0.12)
2-0 @ 8.42% ▲ (+0.41)
3-1 @ 4.62% ▲ (+0.14)
3-0 @ 4.22% ▲ (+0.28)
3-2 @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.09)
4-0 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 46.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.23% ▼ (-0.06)
0-0 @ 7.43% ▲ (+0.11)
2-2 @ 5.04% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 25.72%
AC Milan
0-1 @ 8.13% ▼ (-0.18)
1-2 @ 6.7% ▼ (-0.29)
0-2 @ 4.45% ▼ (-0.27)
1-3 @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.20)
2-3 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.12)
0-3 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 27.58%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 24
AC Milan
Feb 26, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Atalanta
  • Juan Musso 25' goal
  • Junior Messias 86' goal
Serie A Gameweek 2
Atalanta
Aug 21, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Gewiss Stadium
AC Milan
  • Rafael Toloi 16' yellowcard
  • Ruslan Malinovskyi 29' goal
  • Hans Hateboer 48' yellowcard
  • Berat Djimsiti 78' yellowcard
  • Marten de Roon 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stefano Pioli 23'
  • yellowcard Ante Rebic 45'+1'
  • goal Ismael Bennacer 68'
  • yellowcard Sandro Tonali 75'
  • yellowcard Theo Hernandez 78'
Serie A Gameweek 37
AC Milan
May 15, 2022 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Atalanta
  • Olivier Giroud 44' yellowcard
  • Rafael Leao 56' goal
  • Franck Kessie 67' yellowcard
  • Theo Hernandez 75' goal
  • Ismael Bennacer 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Teun Koopmeiners 53'
  • yellowcard Ruslan Malinovskyi 87'
Serie A Gameweek 7
Atalanta
Oct 3, 2021 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT
AC Milan
  • Marten de Roon 40' yellowcard
  • Duvan Zapata 86' goal
  • Mario Pasalic 90'+4' goal
  • goal Davide Calabria 1'
  • yellowcard Brahim Diaz 42'
  • goal Sandro Tonali 43'
  • yellowcard Fikayo Tomori 52'
  • goal Rafael Leao 78'
  • yellowcard Junior Messias 85'
  • yellowcard Rafael Leao 88'
  • yellowcard Stefano Pioli 90'+4'
Serie A Gameweek 38
Atalanta
May 23, 2021 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
AC Milan
  • Remo Freuler 47' yellowcard
  • Marten de Roon 69' yellowcard
  • Rafael Toloi 86' yellowcard
  • Marten de Roon 90'+1' redcard
  • goal Franck Kessie 43'
  • yellowcard Mario Mandzukic 82'
  • yellowcard Rade Krunic 90'+1'
  • goal Franck Kessie 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Diogo Dalot 90'+2'
Serie A Gameweek 19
AC Milan
Jan 23, 2021 5.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
Atalanta
  • Theo Hernandez 38' yellowcard
  • Franck Kessie 51' yellowcard
  • goal Cristian Romero 26'
  • goal Josip Ilicic 53'
  • goal Duvan Zapata 77'
  • yellowcard Robin Gosens 84'

Form Data

Torino 3 - 0 Atalanta
Atalanta 1 - 1 Sporting Lisbon
Atalanta 1 - 2 Napoli
Udinese 1 - 1 Atalanta
Atalanta 1 - 0 Sturm Graz
Atalanta 1 - 2 Inter Milan
AC Milan 3 - 1 Frosinone
AC Milan 1 - 3 Dortmund
AC Milan 1 - 0 Fiorentina
Lecce 2 - 2 AC Milan
AC Milan 2 - 1 PSG
AC Milan 0 - 1 Udinese