Europa League
Nov 30, 2023 5.45pm
1
1
HT : 2 0
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • 7' goal
  • Gianluca Scamacca 23' goal
  • Ademola Lookman 38' yellowcard
  • Giorgio Scalvini 42' yellowcard
  • Sead Kolasinac 43' yellowcard
  • Marten de Roon 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Goncalo Inacio 11'
  • goal Marcus Edwards 56'
  • yellowcard Hidemasa Morita 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Matheus Reis 90'+4'

Atalanta BC vs Sporting Lisbon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Nov 9, 2023 8.00pm
Atalanta 1 - 0 Sturm Graz

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Nov 9, 2023 8.00pm
Sporting Lisbon 2 - 1 Rakow

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.82%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Atalanta BC 36.03% (+0.23)
Draw 24.42% (-0.02)
Sporting Lisbon 39.55% (-0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.79% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.01% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 42.99% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 34.61% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 65.39% (-0.09)
Over 4.5 17.97% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 82.02% (-0.07)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5 76.43% (+0.17)
Under 0.5 23.57% (-0.17)
Over 1.5 42.37% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 57.63% (-0.24)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5 78.23% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 21.76% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 45.04% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 54.95% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Atalanta BC 36.03%
Draw 24.41%
Sporting Lisbon 39.55%
Atalanta BC
2-1 @ 8.17% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 7.41% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.36% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.94% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.58% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.42% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.08% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 36.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.3% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.23% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.13% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.53% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.41%
Sporting Lisbon
1-2 @ 8.62% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 7.82% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 5.96% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 4.38% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.17%
0-3 @ 3.03% (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.67% (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.21% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.16% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 39.55%

Head to Head

Europa League
Oct 5, 2023 5.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira
  • Viktor Gyokeres 76' goal
  • Pedro Goncalves 84' yellowcard
  • Daniel Braganca 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Giorgio Scalvini 33'
  • goal Matteo Ruggeri 43'
  • yellowcard Berat Djimsiti 51'
  • yellowcard Rafael Toloi 60'
  • yellowcard Sead Kolasinac 76'
  • yellowcard Gianluca Scamacca 90'+2'