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Europa League

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Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 30, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Sporting Lisbon

Atalanta
1 - 1
Sporting Lisbon

Scamacca (23')
Lookman (38'), Scalvini (42'), Kolasinac (43'), de Roon (62')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Edwards (56')
Inacio (11'), Reis (90+4'), Morita (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Atalanta BC and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Atalanta 1-2 Napoli
Saturday, November 25 at 5pm in Serie A

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 8-0 Dumiense
Sunday, November 26 at 6pm in Taca de Portugal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.82%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawSporting Lisbon
36.03% (0.226 0.23)24.42% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)39.55% (-0.215 -0.21)
Both teams to score 59.79% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.01% (0.088999999999999 0.09)42.99% (-0.092000000000006 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.61% (0.085999999999999 0.09)65.39% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.43% (0.16199999999999 0.16)23.57% (-0.165 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.37% (0.23699999999999 0.24)57.63% (-0.239 -0.24)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.23% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)21.76% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.04% (-0.1 -0.1)54.95% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 36.03%
    Sporting Lisbon 39.55%
    Draw 24.41%
Atalanta BCDrawSporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 8.17% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.41% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.36% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.94% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 3% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.58% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 36.03%
1-1 @ 11.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.23% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.13% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.53% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.41%
1-2 @ 8.62% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.82% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.96% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.38% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.17%
0-3 @ 3.03% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.67% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.21% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.16% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 39.55%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Sporting Lisbon

Atalanta BC
57.7%
Draw
21.6%
Sporting Lisbon
20.6%
97
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2023 5.45pm
Group Stage
Sporting Lisbon
1-2
Atalanta
Gyokeres (76' pen.)
Goncalves (84'), Braganca (90+2')
Scalvini (33'), Ruggeri (43')
Djimsiti (51'), Toloi (60'), Kolasinac (76'), Scamacca (90+2')
> Preview
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