/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Flislog.png)
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Daniel Braganca
33'
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Marcus Edwards
71'
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Pedro Goncalves
76'
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Paulinho
79'
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Leo Jaba
50'
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Kikas
55'
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Kikas
66'
Sporting Lisbon vs Estrela Amadora - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 78.62%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 6.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.73%) and 1-0 (11.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.84%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (2.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Estrela Amadora Goals
Score analysis
3-0 @ 11.73% ▼ (-0.04)
1-0 @ 11.49% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.46% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 7.26% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 6.98% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 4.32% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 3.59% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.02)
6-0 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 78.6%
0-0 @ 4.65% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 14.45%
1-2 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 6.93%