Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10

Nov 5, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira

Sporting Lisbon
3 - 2
Estrela Amadora

Braganca (33'), Edwards (71'), Paulinho (79')
Goncalves (76')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Jaba (50' pen.), Kikas (55')
Kikas (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Estrela Amadora, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 4-2 Farense
Thursday, November 2 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Estrela Amadora

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Estrela Amadora 1-0 Famalicao
Sunday, October 29 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 78.62%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 6.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.73%) and 1-0 (11.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.84%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (2.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Estrela Amadora
78.62% ( -0.1)	14.45% ( 0.05)	6.93% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 41.05% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.21% (

-0)

40.79% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.82% (

-0)

63.18% (

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.58% (

-0.02)

8.42% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.74% (

-0.06)

29.26% (

0.05)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.82% (

0.14)

55.18% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.01% (

0.09)

87.99% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 78.6%

Estrela Amadora 6.93%

Draw 14.45%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Estrela Amadora
2-0 @ 14.22% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 11.73% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 11.49% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.32% ( 0) 5-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.14% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.59% Total : 78.6%	1-1 @ 6.84% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.65% ( 0) 2-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.45% Total : 14.45%	0-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.14% Total : 6.93%