Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 59.92%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 17.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.79%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 17.92% ( | 22.16% ( | 59.92% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.75% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.81% ( | 47.19% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.58% ( | 69.42% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.95% ( | 40.05% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.3% ( | 76.7% ( |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.66% ( | 15.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.9% ( | 44.1% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 1-0 @ 5.62% ( 2-1 @ 4.82% ( 2-0 @ 2.57% ( 3-1 @ 1.47% ( 3-2 @ 1.38% ( Other @ 2.05% Total : 17.92% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( 0-0 @ 6.14% ( 2-2 @ 4.52% ( Other @ 0.96% Total : 22.15% | 0-1 @ 11.51% ( 0-2 @ 10.79% ( 1-2 @ 9.88% ( 0-3 @ 6.75% ( 1-3 @ 6.17% ( 0-4 @ 3.16% ( 1-4 @ 2.89% ( 2-3 @ 2.82% ( 2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0-5 @ 1.19% ( 1-5 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 2.33% Total : 59.9% |