Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 59.92%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 17.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.79%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.