Taca de Portugal | Third Round

Oct 22, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio Carlos Osorio

UD Oliveirense
1 - 3
Boavista

Paulo Queiroz (55')
Gadelho (10'), Paulo Queiroz (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Bozenik (16'), Perez (33'), Reisinho (72')
Onyemaechi (42'), Watai (75')

Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between UD Oliveirense and Boavista.

Form, Standings, Stats

UD Oliveirense

Last Game: Farense 3-2 UD Oliveirense
Saturday, July 29 at 6pm in Taca da Liga

Boavista

All competitions

Last Game: Moreirense 1-1 Boavista
Friday, October 6 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 39.46%. A win for UD Oliveirense had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest UD Oliveirense win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.

Result
UD Oliveirense	Draw	Boavista
35.57% ( 1.9)	24.97% ( 0.63)	39.46% ( -2.53)

Both teams to score 57.74% (

-1.82)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.37% (

-2.55)

45.63% (

2.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.04% (

-2.48)

67.96% (

2.48)

UD Oliveirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.95% (

-0.11)

25.04% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.28% (

-0.15)

59.72% (

0.15)

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.03% (

-2.31)

22.97% (

2.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.24% (

-3.52)

56.76% (

3.53)

Score Analysis

UD Oliveirense 35.57%

Boavista 39.46%

Draw 24.96%

UD Oliveirense	Draw	Boavista
2-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.28) 1-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.81) 2-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.55) 3-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.25) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.69% Total : 35.57%	1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.43) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.6) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.96%	1-2 @ 8.62% ( -0.28) 0-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.34) 0-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 4.23% ( -0.45) 0-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.32) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.32) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.29) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.21) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.21) Other @ 2.2% Total : 39.46%