Primeira Liga | Gameweek 6

Sep 24, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Braga

Braga
4 - 1
Boavista

Horta (19', 58'), Banza (37'), Elmusrati (54' pen.)
Horta (49'), Banza (90+5')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Morais (26')
Perez (30'), Makouta (45+2')
Perez (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Boavista, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Braga 1-2 Napoli
Wednesday, September 20 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Boavista

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Boavista 4-1 Chaves
Monday, September 18 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 52.84%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 23.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Braga	Draw	Boavista
52.84% ( -0.09)	23.98% ( 0.04)	23.18% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 53.04% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.85% (

-0.15)

48.14% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.69% (

-0.14)

70.3% (

0.14)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.82% (

-0.09)

18.17% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.84% (

-0.15)

49.16% (

0.15)

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.82% (

-0.04)

35.17% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.07% (

-0.05)

71.93% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Braga 52.84%

Boavista 23.18%

Draw 23.97%

Braga	Draw	Boavista
1-0 @ 10.9% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.29% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.52% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.41% Total : 52.84%	1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.97%	0-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.95% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 2.01% Total : 23.18%