Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 21, 2023 at 8.45pm UK
Estadio Jose Gomes
Sporting Lisbon

CD Olivais
1 - 3
Sporting Lisbon

Simoes (8' pen.)
Junior (45+2'), Joaozinho (79')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Edwards (44' pen.), Catamo (53')
Goncalves (15'), Edwards (50'), Braganca (62'), Catamo (90'), Catamo (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Taca de Portugal clash between CD Olivais e Moscavide and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

CD Olivais e Moscavide

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Arouca
Sunday, October 8 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 99.07%. A draw had a probability of 0.8% and a win for CD Olivais e Moscavide had a probability of 0.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-5 with a probability of 15.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (14.43%) and 0-6 (13.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (0.45%), while for a CD Olivais e Moscavide win it was 1-0 (0.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
CD Olivais e MoscavideDrawSporting Lisbon
0.09% (0.001 0)0.84% (0.003 0)99.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 12.7% (0.083 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
90.54% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)9.46% (0.0010999999999992 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
78.7% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)21.3%
CD Olivais e Moscavide Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
12.76% (0.084 0.08)87.24% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
0.85% (0.01 0.01)99.15% (-0.012 -0.01)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
99.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)0.52% (0.001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
96.76% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)3.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    CD Olivais e Moscavide 0.09%
    Sporting Lisbon 99.03%
    Draw 0.84%
CD Olivais e MoscavideDrawSporting Lisbon
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 0.09%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 0.84%
0-5 @ 15.2% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-4 @ 14.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-6 @ 13.34% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 10.96% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-7 @ 10.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-8 @ 6.61% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.25% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-9 @ 3.87% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 2.37%
1-5 @ 2.08% (0.013 0.01)
0-10 @ 2.04% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.97% (0.013 0.01)
1-6 @ 1.82% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.5% (0.01 0.01)
1-7 @ 1.37% (0.008 0.01)
0-11 @ 0.98% (-0.002 -0)
1-8 @ 0.9% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 99.03%