Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8

Oct 8, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Campo do Cevadeiro

Casa Pia
0 - 1
Estrela Amadora

Neto (16')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Tavares (90+3')
Tavares (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Estrela Amadora, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Gil Vicente 2-0 Casa Pia
Monday, October 2 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Estrela Amadora

All competitions

Last Game: Estrela Amadora 2-4 Braga
Thursday, September 28 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 49.06%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 24.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Casa Pia	Draw	Estrela Amadora
49.06% ( -0.36)	26.03% ( 0.2)	24.91% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 48.7% (

-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.23% (

-0.64)

54.76% (

0.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.92% (

-0.53)

76.08% (

0.53)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.64% (

-0.43)

22.36% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.15% (

-0.64)

55.84% (

0.64)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.73% (

-0.21)

37.27% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.94% (

-0.21)

74.06% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Casa Pia 49.06%

Estrela Amadora 24.91%

Draw 26.02%

Casa Pia	Draw	Estrela Amadora
1-0 @ 12.48% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 9.35% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.98% Total : 49.06%	1-1 @ 12.31% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.02%	0-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 6.08% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.72% Total : 24.91%