Primeira Liga Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2023 3.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Campo do Cevadeiro
  • Neto 16' yellowcard
  • goal 73'
  • goal Ronaldo Tavares 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Ronaldo Tavares 90'+4'

Casa Pia vs Estrela Amadora - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions
Last game
Oct 2, 2023 8.15pm
Gil Vicente 2 - 0 Casa Pia
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Clayton

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Last game
Sep 28, 2023 8.15pm
Estrela Amadora 2 - 4 Braga
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Kikas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 49.06%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 24.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result

Casa Pia 49.06% (-0.37)
Draw 26.03% (+0.21)
Estrela Amadora 24.91% (+0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.7% (-0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.23% (-0.65)
Under 2.5 54.76% (+0.65)
Over 3.5 23.92% (-0.54)
Under 3.5 76.08% (+0.54)
Over 4.5 10.68% (-0.34)
Under 4.5 89.31% (+0.34)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5 77.64% (-0.43)
Under 0.5 22.36% (+0.43)
Over 1.5 44.15% (-0.65)
Under 1.5 55.84% (+0.65)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5 62.73% (-0.22)
Under 0.5 37.27% (+0.22)
Over 1.5 25.94% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 74.06% (+0.21)

Score analysis

Casa Pia 49.06%
Draw 26.02%
Estrela Amadora 24.91%
Casa Pia
1-0 @ 12.48% (+0.16)
2-0 @ 9.35% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 4.67% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 4.61% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.06)
4-0 @ 1.75% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.73% (-0.06)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 49.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.31% (+0.08)
0-0 @ 8.33% (+0.21)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 26.02%
Estrela Amadora
0-1 @ 8.22% (+0.16)
1-2 @ 6.08% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.06% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 2% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.34% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 24.91%