Primeira Liga | Gameweek 6

Sep 23, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estadio Pina Manique

Casa Pia
0 - 0
Guimaraes

Larrazabal (57'), Fernandes (80'), Serobyan (90+4')

Mendes (36'), Silva (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Arouca 0-1 Casa Pia
Sunday, September 17 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Guimaraes 1-2 Portimonense
Sunday, September 17 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 36.37%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 35.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (10.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Casa Pia	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
36.37% ( 0.15)	27.83% ( 0.01)	35.8% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 48.31% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.38% (

-0.05)

57.62% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.61% (

-0.04)

78.39% (

0.04)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.68% (

0.07)

30.32% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.5% (

0.08)

66.5% (

-0.08)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.33% (

-0.13)

30.67% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.08% (

-0.16)

66.92% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Casa Pia 36.36%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 35.8%

Draw 27.83%

Casa Pia	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 11.09% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 36.36%	1-1 @ 13.11% 0-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.83%	0-1 @ 10.99% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.75% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.23% Total : 35.8%