Primeira Liga | Gameweek 7

Sep 28, 2023 at 8.15pm UK

Estadio Jose Gomes da Costa

Estrela Amadora
2 - 4
Braga

Kikas (75'), Felipe (79')
Cordeiro (17')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Djalo (13', 49'), Banza (68'), Horta (90+4')
Fonte (44'), Magalhaes (75'), Saatci (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estrela Amadora

All competitions

Last Game: Chaves 2-2 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, September 24 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Braga 4-1 Boavista
Sunday, September 24 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 60.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 17.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.39%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 1-0 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Estrela Amadora	Draw	Braga
17.95% ( -0.01)	21.55% ( -0.01)	60.5% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 52.8% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.5% (

0.03)

44.49% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.14% (

0.03)

66.86% (

-0.03)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.57% (

0.01)

38.42% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.82% (

0.01)

75.18% (

-0.01)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.74% (

0.01)

14.26% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.97% (

0.03)

42.03% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Estrela Amadora 17.95%

Braga 60.5%

Draw 21.54%

Estrela Amadora	Draw	Braga
1-0 @ 5.24% ( -0) 2-1 @ 4.88% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.51% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.56% 3-2 @ 1.52% ( 0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 17.95%	1-1 @ 10.2% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.54%	0-1 @ 10.67% 0-2 @ 10.39% 1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0) 0-3 @ 6.75% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.46% ( 0) 0-4 @ 3.29% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.14% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.09% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.5% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.28% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 60.5%