Primeira Liga Gameweek 9
Oct 29, 2023 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jose Gomes da Costa
  • Mansur 17' yellowcard
  • Kialonda Gaspar 25' yellowcard
  • Miguel Lopes 68' yellowcard
  • Andre Luiz 74' goal
  • yellowcard Nathan 7'
  • redcard Riccieli 33'
  • yellowcard Chiquinho 54'
  • yellowcard Otavio 83'

Estrela Amadora vs Famalicao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Last game
Oct 8, 2023 3.30pm
Casa Pia 0 - 1 Estrela Amadora
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Kikas

Famalicao

All competitions
Last game
Oct 8, 2023 3.30pm
Famalicao 1 - 3 Guimaraes
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Jhonder Cadiz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Estrela Amadora would win this match.

Result

Estrela Amadora 30.81% (+0.21)
Draw 26.58% (+0.04)
Famalicao 42.61% (-0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.02% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.31% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 53.69% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 24.82% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 75.18% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 11.25% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 88.75% (+0.03)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5 67.98% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 32.02% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 31.52% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 68.48% (-0.15)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5 75.05% (-0.15)
Under 0.5 24.95% (+0.15)
Over 1.5 40.41% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 59.59% (+0.21)

Score analysis

Estrela Amadora 30.81%
Draw 26.58%
Famalicao 42.61%
Estrela Amadora
1-0 @ 9.1% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 7.19% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 5.18% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 2.73% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.97% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.9% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 30.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.63% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 7.99% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.99% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.58%
Famalicao
0-1 @ 11.09% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.77% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 7.7% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 4.06% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.56% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.41% (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.24% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 42.61%