Taca da Liga | Group Stage

Nov 2, 2023 at 8.15pm UK

CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira

Sporting Lisbon
4 - 2
Farense

Gyokeres (24', 28' pen., 63'), Santos (56')
Reis (14')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Oliveira (49'), Goncalves (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Taca da Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and SC Farense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Last Game: Boavista 0-2 Sporting Lisbon
Monday, October 30 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

SC Farense

All competitions

Taca da Liga

Last Game: Rio Ave 3-4 Farense
Sunday, October 29 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 76.28%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 8.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.53%) and 1-0 (10.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.23%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	SC Farense
76.28% ( -0.82)	15.21% ( 0.52)	8.52% ( 0.3)

Both teams to score 46.29% (

-0.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.67% (

-1.52)

38.33% (

1.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.39% (

-1.63)

60.61% (

1.63)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.63% (

-0.54)

8.37% (

0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.87% (

-1.34)

29.13% (

1.34)

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.52% (

-0.37)

49.48% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.7% (

-0.26)

84.3% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 76.27%

SC Farense 8.52%

Draw 15.21%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	SC Farense
2-0 @ 12.74% ( 0.27) 3-0 @ 10.53% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 10.27% ( 0.47) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.21) 4-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.2) 5-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.09) 6-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.12) 6-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.19% Total : 76.27%	1-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 3.15% ( -0) Other @ 0.68% Total : 15.21%	0-1 @ 2.91% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.03% Total : 8.52%