Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 48.13%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 25.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.