Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8

Oct 7, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Braga

Braga
2 - 1
Rio Ave

Banza (90+1'), Ruiz (90+6')
Saatci (40')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Acevedo (5')
Luiz (74'), Gomes (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Union Berlin 2-3 Braga
Tuesday, October 3 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rio Ave

All competitions

Last Game: Rio Ave 0-4 Moreirense
Sunday, October 1 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 56.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 20.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Braga	Draw	Rio Ave
56.94% ( 0.09)	22.56% ( -0.05)	20.49% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 53.89% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.78% (

0.17)

45.21% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.44% (

0.16)

67.55% (

-0.16)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.34% (

0.09)

15.65% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.32% (

0.17)

44.67% (

-0.17)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.89% (

0.05)

36.1% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.11% (

0.05)

72.88% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Braga 56.93%

Rio Ave 20.49%

Draw 22.56%

Braga	Draw	Rio Ave
1-0 @ 10.47% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 56.93%	1-1 @ 10.67% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.56%	0-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.85% 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 1.81% Total : 20.49%