Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Nov 9, 2023 at 8pm UK

CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira

Sporting Lisbon
2 - 1
Rakow

Goncalves (14' pen., 52' pen.)
Inacio (29'), Paulinho (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rundic (70')
Cebula (90+4')
Racovitan (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Sporting Lisbon and Rakow Czestochowa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-2 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, November 5 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rakow Czestochowa

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Rakow 5-0 Zaglebie Lubin
Sunday, November 5 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 72.95%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Rakow Czestochowa had a probability of 10.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 3-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%), while for a Rakow Czestochowa win it was 1-2 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Rakow Czestochowa
72.95% ( 0.01)	16.18% ( -0.01)	10.88% ( -0)

Both teams to score 52.66% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.8% (

0.03)

35.21% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.78% (

0.04)

57.22% (

-0.04)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.65% (

0.01)

8.36% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.9% (

0.03)

29.1% (

-0.03)

Rakow Czestochowa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.46% (

0.02)

42.54% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.1% (

0.02)

78.9% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 72.95%

Rakow Czestochowa 10.88%

Draw 16.18%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Rakow Czestochowa
2-0 @ 10.95% 2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0) 3-0 @ 9.06% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.74% ( 0) 4-0 @ 5.62% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.81% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.79% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.39% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.05% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.16% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.02% ( 0) 6-1 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.88% Total : 72.95%	1-1 @ 7.54% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 16.18%	1-2 @ 3.22% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.04% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.3% 2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) 1-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.26% Total : 10.88%