Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 12
Oct 22, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Arena Zabrze
Rakow

Gornik
2 - 1
Rakow

Yokota (10', 22')
Siplak (63'), Pacheco (70'), Janicki (88')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Crnac (82')
Kovacevic (55'), Kochergin (59'), Tudor (86')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Gornik Zabrze and Rakow Czestochowa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gornik Zabrze

All competitions
Last Game: Slask Wroclaw 1-1 Gornik
Sunday, October 8 at 11.30am in Polish Ekstraklasa

Rakow Czestochowa

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Legia 1-2 Rakow
Sunday, October 8 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 42.25%. A win for Gornik Zabrze had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Gornik Zabrze win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Gornik ZabrzeDrawRakow Czestochowa
31.1% (0.027000000000001 0.03)26.65% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)42.25% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.93% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.14% (0.010999999999996 0.01)53.87% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.67% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)75.33% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Gornik Zabrze Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.1% (0.024000000000001 0.02)31.9% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.65% (0.027000000000001 0.03)68.35% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Rakow Czestochowa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.79% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)25.22% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.04% (-0.012 -0.01)59.96% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Gornik Zabrze 31.1%
    Rakow Czestochowa 42.24%
    Draw 26.65%
Gornik ZabrzeDrawRakow Czestochowa
1-0 @ 9.19% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 7.23% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 5.25% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 2.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.9% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 31.1%
1-1 @ 12.66%
0-0 @ 8.05% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.98% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 11.08% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.72% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 7.64% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.01% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 3.51% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.29%
1-4 @ 1.38% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 42.24%