Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 10

Oct 30, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Carlo Castellani

Empoli
0 - 3
Atalanta

Maleh (33'), Cacace (35'), Gyasi (69'), Fazzini (85')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Scamacca (5', 51'), Koopmeiners (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Empoli

All competitions

Last Game: Fiorentina 0-2 Empoli
Monday, October 23 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Sturm Graz 2-2 Atalanta
Thursday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 54.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 21.12%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.2%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Empoli	Draw	Atalanta BC
21.12% ( 0.07)	24.13% ( 0.16)	54.74% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 49.9% (

-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.01% (

-0.57)

50.98% (

0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.14% (

-0.5)

72.85% (

0.5)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.24% (

-0.25)

38.75% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.51% (

-0.23)

75.49% (

0.23)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.47% (

-0.3)

18.52% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.24% (

-0.51)

49.75% (

0.5)

Score Analysis

Empoli 21.12%

Atalanta BC 54.73%

Draw 24.13%

Empoli	Draw	Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 5.44% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 1.47% Total : 21.12%	1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.9% Total : 24.13%	0-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 10.2% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.67% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 5.74% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 5.44% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 2.42% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.29% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.21% Total : 54.73%