Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 9

Oct 22, 2023 at 5pm UK

Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta
2 - 0
Genoa

Lookman (68'), Ederson (90+5')
Lookman (42'), Toloi (53'), Hateboer (85'), Zappacosta (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gudmundsson (56'), Bani (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lazio 3-2 Atalanta
Sunday, October 8 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Genoa

All competitions

Last Game: Genoa 0-1 AC Milan
Saturday, October 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 63.94%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 14.76%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.22%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Genoa
63.94% ( 0.1)	21.3% ( -0.29)	14.76% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 46.73% (

1.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.96% (

1.54)

49.04% (

-1.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.88% (

1.38)

71.12% (

-1.37)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.33% (

0.54)

14.66% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.18% (

1.02)

42.81% (

-1.02)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.76% (

1.22)

45.23% (

-1.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.88% (

0.95)

81.12% (

-0.95)

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 63.93%

Genoa 14.76%

Draw 21.3%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Genoa
1-0 @ 12.73% ( -0.57) 2-0 @ 12.22% ( -0.3) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.15) 5-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.29% Total : 63.93%	1-1 @ 10.1% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.43) 2-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.72% Total : 21.3%	0-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.33% Total : 14.76%