Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Oct 26, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

UPC-Arena

Sturm Graz
2 - 2
Atalanta

Prass (13'), Wlodarczyk (80' pen.)
Hierlander (45+7'), Kiteishvili (45+2')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Muriel (34', 45+7' pen.)
Lookman (45+7'), Bakker (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Sturm Graz and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sturm Graz

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Sturm Graz 2-1 Hartberg
Saturday, October 21 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Goals
for

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Atalanta 2-0 Genoa
Sunday, October 22 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Sturm Graz	Draw	Atalanta BC
40.42% ( -0)	25.57%	34%

Both teams to score 55.36% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.42% (

-0)

48.58%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.3% (

-0)

70.7%

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.21% (

-0)

23.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.05% (

-0)

57.94%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.64%

27.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.17% (

-0)

62.82%

Score Analysis

Sturm Graz 40.42%

Atalanta BC 34.01%

Draw 25.57%

Sturm Graz	Draw	Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 9.35% 2-1 @ 8.7% 2-0 @ 6.71% 3-1 @ 4.16% 3-0 @ 3.21% 3-2 @ 2.7% 4-1 @ 1.5% 4-0 @ 1.15% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.97% Total : 40.42%	1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.51% 2-2 @ 5.64% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.57%	0-1 @ 8.43% 1-2 @ 7.85% 0-2 @ 5.47% 1-3 @ 3.39% 2-3 @ 2.44% 0-3 @ 2.36% 1-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.97% Total : 34.01%