Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 61.29%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Wolfsberger had a probability of 17.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.1%) and 1-2 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Wolfsberger win it was 1-0 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.

Result
Wolfsberger	Draw	Sturm Graz
17.69% ( 0.05)	21.01% ( 0.14)	61.29% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 54.09% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.47% (

-0.53)

42.53% (

0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.07% (

-0.53)

64.93% (

0.52)

Wolfsberger Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.45% (

-0.25)

37.54% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.67% (

-0.25)

74.32% (

0.24)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.61% (

-0.23)

13.38% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.7% (

-0.45)

40.3% (

0.45)

Score Analysis

Wolfsberger 17.69%

Sturm Graz 61.28%

Draw 21.01%

Wolfsberger	Draw	Sturm Graz
1-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 17.69%	1-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.01%	0-2 @ 10.16% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 10.1% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 9.96% 0-3 @ 6.81% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.67% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 3.43% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 3.36% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.04) 0-5 @ 1.38% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 1.35% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.16% Total : 61.28%