Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 61.29%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Wolfsberger had a probability of 17.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.1%) and 1-2 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Wolfsberger win it was 1-0 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.