Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 10
Oct 8, 2023 1.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Lavanttal Arena
  • Mario Leitgeb 3' yellowcard
  • Amadou Dante 40' goal
  • Sandro Altunashvili 64' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Scherzer 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stefan Hierlander 42'
  • goal Manprit Sarkaria 54'
  • goal Otar Kiteishvili 59'
  • yellowcard Gregory Wuthrich 70'
  • yellowcard Jon Gorenc Stankovic 75'
  • yellowcard Kjell Scherpen 90'+4'

Wolfsberger vs Sturm Graz - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsberger

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last game
Sep 30, 2023 4.00pm
Wolfsberger 2 - 1 LASK
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Thierno Ballo

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last game
Oct 1, 2023 1.30pm
Sturm Graz 1 - 0 Swarovski
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Otar Kiteishvili

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 61.29%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Wolfsberger had a probability of 17.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.1%) and 1-2 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Wolfsberger win it was 1-0 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.

Result

Wolfsberger 17.69% (+0.06)
Draw 21.01% (+0.14)
Sturm Graz 61.29% (-0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.09% (-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.47% (-0.53)
Under 2.5 42.53% (+0.53)
Over 3.5 35.07% (-0.53)
Under 3.5 64.93% (+0.53)
Over 4.5 18.31% (-0.40)
Under 4.5 81.68% (+0.40)

Wolfsberger Goals

Over 0.5 62.45% (-0.25)
Under 0.5 37.54% (+0.25)
Over 1.5 25.67% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 74.32% (+0.25)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5 86.61% (-0.23)
Under 0.5 13.38% (+0.23)
Over 1.5 59.7% (-0.46)
Under 1.5 40.3% (+0.45)

Score analysis

Wolfsberger 17.69%
Draw 21.01%
Sturm Graz 61.28%
Wolfsberger
1-0 @ 4.92% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 4.85% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 2.41% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.59% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 1.58% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 17.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.9% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 5.03% (+0.12)
2-2 @ 4.88% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.01%
Sturm Graz
0-2 @ 10.16% (+0.08)
0-1 @ 10.1% (+0.15)
1-2 @ 9.96%
0-3 @ 6.81% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 6.67% (-0.06)
0-4 @ 3.43% (-0.04)
1-4 @ 3.36% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 3.27% (-0.05)
2-4 @ 1.64% (-0.04)
0-5 @ 1.38% (-0.03)
1-5 @ 1.35% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 61.28%