Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Rapid Vienna had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Rapid Vienna win was 2-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.

Result
Rapid Vienna	Draw	Sturm Graz
33.83% ( -0.11)	24.05% ( 0.06)	42.12% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 60.68% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.35% (

-0.32)

41.65% (

0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.95% (

-0.33)

64.05% (

0.33)

Rapid Vienna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.84% (

-0.21)

24.16% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.52% (

-0.31)

58.48% (

0.31)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.01% (

-0.11)

19.99% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.82% (

-0.18)

52.18% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Rapid Vienna 33.83%

Sturm Graz 42.12%

Draw 24.04%

Rapid Vienna	Draw	Sturm Graz
2-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.87% Total : 33.83%	1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.04%	1-2 @ 8.89% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 4.77% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 3.04% Total : 42.12%