Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2023 1.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT UPC-Arena
  • Gregory Wuthrich 44' goal
  • Stefan Hierlander 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Julius Ertlthaler 57'
  • yellowcard Matthaus Taferner 75'
  • yellowcard Cem Ustundag 81'
  • yellowcard David Gugganig 84'
  • yellowcard Luca Kronberger 87'

Sturm Graz vs WSG Swarovski Tirol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last game
Sep 24, 2023 4.00pm
Rapid Vienna 1 - 1 Sturm Graz
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Otar Kiteishvili

WSG Swarovski Tirol

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last game
Sep 23, 2023 4.00pm
Swarovski 2 - 3 Wolfsberger
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Nik Prelec

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 50.69%. A win for WSG Swarovski Tirol had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest WSG Swarovski Tirol win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.

Result

Sturm Graz 50.69% (+0.30)
Draw 22.88% (-0.02)
WSG Swarovski Tirol 26.43% (-0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.23% (-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.75% (-0.19)
Under 2.5 40.25% (+0.19)
Over 3.5 37.37% (-0.20)
Under 3.5 62.63% (+0.20)
Over 4.5 20.07% (-0.15)
Under 4.5 79.93% (+0.16)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5 83.96% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 16.04% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 54.6% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 45.4% (-0.07)

WSG Swarovski Tirol Goals

Over 0.5 71.74% (-0.31)
Under 0.5 28.26% (+0.31)
Over 1.5 36.03% (-0.39)
Under 1.5 63.97% (+0.39)

Score analysis

Sturm Graz 50.69%
Draw 22.88%
WSG Swarovski Tirol 26.43%
Sturm Graz
2-1 @ 9.59% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 8.3% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 7.59% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 5.85% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 4.63% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 3.7% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.68% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 2.12% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.69% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.55%
Total : 50.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.48% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.06% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 4.53% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.88%
WSG Swarovski Tirol
1-2 @ 6.62% (-0.05)
0-1 @ 5.73%
0-2 @ 3.62% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.79% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.53% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 26.43%