Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 7
Sep 17, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Planet Pure Stadion

Austria Lustenau
2 - 3
Swarovski

Schmid (50', 56')
Grujcic (35')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Schulz (38'), Prelec (42'), Sulzbacher (62')
Ustundag (33'), Ranacher (90')
Coverage of the Austrian Bundesliga clash between Austria Lustenau and WSG Swarovski Tirol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: LASK 2-0 Austria Lustenau
Sunday, September 3 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Swarovski 2-4 BW Linz
Saturday, September 2 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a WSG Swarovski Tirol win with a probability of 60.48%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Austria Lustenau had a probability of 18.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a WSG Swarovski Tirol win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.6%) and 0-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for an Austria Lustenau win it was 2-1 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that WSG Swarovski Tirol would win this match.

Result
Austria LustenauDrawWSG Swarovski Tirol
18.58% (0.848 0.85)20.94% (0.578 0.58)60.48% (-1.423 -1.42)
Both teams to score 56.09% (-0.362 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.27% (-1.265 -1.27)40.72% (1.266 1.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.89% (-1.306 -1.31)63.11% (1.308 1.31)
Austria Lustenau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.51% (0.17700000000001 0.18)35.49% (-0.175 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.74% (0.183 0.18)72.26% (-0.18100000000001 -0.18)
WSG Swarovski Tirol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.94% (-0.8 -0.8)13.05% (0.802 0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.37% (-1.655 -1.66)39.63% (1.658 1.66)
Score Analysis
    Austria Lustenau 18.58%
    WSG Swarovski Tirol 60.48%
    Draw 20.94%
Austria LustenauDrawWSG Swarovski Tirol
2-1 @ 5.06% (0.185 0.19)
1-0 @ 4.8% (0.294 0.29)
2-0 @ 2.49% (0.164 0.16)
3-2 @ 1.78% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.75% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 18.58%
1-1 @ 9.77% (0.313 0.31)
2-2 @ 5.15% (0.034 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.63% (0.263 0.26)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.94%
1-2 @ 9.95% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 9.6% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
0-1 @ 9.43% (0.259 0.26)
1-3 @ 6.75% (-0.197 -0.2)
0-3 @ 6.52% (-0.222 -0.22)
2-3 @ 3.5% (-0.085 -0.09)
1-4 @ 3.44% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-4 @ 3.32% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-4 @ 1.78% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-5 @ 1.4% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-5 @ 1.35% (-0.135 -0.14)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 60.48%