Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 13

Nov 25, 2023 at 5pm UK

Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta
1 - 2
Napoli

Lookman (53')
Djimsiti (27'), Kolasinac (64')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kvaratskhelia (44'), Elmas (79')
Natan (21'), Mazzarri (22'), Di Lorenzo (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Udinese 1-1 Atalanta
Sunday, November 12 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Napoli 0-1 Empoli
Sunday, November 12 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Napoli
33.43% ( 0.05)	25.45% ( 0.02)	41.13% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 55.63% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.84% (

-0.06)

48.16% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.68% (

-0.06)

70.32% (

0.06)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.48% (

27.52% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.97% (

63.02% (

-0)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.75% (

-0.07)

23.25% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.83% (

-0.09)

57.16% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 33.43%

Napoli 41.13%

Draw 25.44%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Napoli
1-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.34% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 33.43%	1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.44%	0-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.79% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.27% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.09% Total : 41.13%