Serie A Gameweek 14
AC Milan
Dec 2, 2023 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Frosinone
  • Luka Jovic 43' goal
  • Christian Pulisic 50' goal
  • Fikayo Tomori 74' goal
  • Luka Jovic 80' yellowcard
  • Stefano Pioli 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Enzo Barrenechea 63'
  • goal Marco Brescianini 82'

AC Milan vs Frosinone - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Nov 25, 2023 7.45pm
AC Milan 1 - 0 Fiorentina
Goals scored
76
Top scorer
Olivier Giroud

Frosinone

All competitions
Last game
Nov 26, 2023 2.00pm
Frosinone 2 - 1 Genoa
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Matias Soule

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 61.6%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 17.81%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 1-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Frosinone win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result

AC Milan 61.6% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 20.59% ▼ (-0.01)
Frosinone 17.81% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.78% ▲ (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.59% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 40.41% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 37.21% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 62.78% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 19.95% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 80.05% ▼ (-0.03)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 87.37% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 12.63% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 61.24% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 38.76% ▼ (-0.03)

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5 63.84% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 36.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 27.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 72.93% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

AC Milan 61.6%
Draw 20.59%
Frosinone 17.81%
AC Milan
2-1 @ 9.94% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.77% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.45% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.86% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.74% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.55% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.49% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.49% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 61.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.61% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.06% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.57% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.59%
Frosinone
1-2 @ 4.89% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 17.81%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 37
AC Milan
May 19, 2019 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (Milano)
Frosinone
  • 0' yellowcard
  • Krzysztof Piatek 57' goal
  • Suso 66' goal
Serie A Gameweek 18
Frosinone
Dec 26, 2018 11.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Benito Stirpe (Frosinone)
AC Milan
  • Paolo Ghiglione 41' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Crisetig 54' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gianluigi Donnarumma 40'
Serie A
AC Milan
May 1, 2016 2.00pm
3
3
HT : 0 2
FT
Frosinone
  • Mario Balotelli 26' yellowcard
  • Juraj Kucka 45' yellowcard
  • Carlos Bacca 50' goal
  • Luca Antonelli 74' goal
  • Jeremy Menez 92' goal
  • goal Luca Paganini 2'
  • yellowcard Paolo Sammarco 10'
  • yellowcard Mirko Gori 19'
  • yellowcard Francesco Bardi 39'
  • goal Oliver Kragl 44'
  • yellowcard Oliver Kragl 45'
  • yellowcard Adriano Russo 48'
  • goal Federico Dionisi 54'
  • yellowcard Federico Dionisi 55'
  • yellowcard Vasyl Pryima 91'
Serie A
Frosinone
Dec 20, 2015 5.00pm
2
4
HT : 1 0
FT
AC Milan
  • Daniel Ciofani 19' goal
  • Aleksandar Tonev 45' yellowcard
  • Danilo Soddimo 55' yellowcard
  • Federico Dionisi 61' yellowcard
  • Daniel Pavlovic 68' yellowcard
  • Federico Dionisi 84' goal
  • Daniel Ciofani 91' yellowcard
  • yellowcard M'Baye Niang 49'
  • goal Ignazio Abate 51'
  • goal Carlos Bacca 55'
  • yellowcard Alessio Romagnoli 60'
  • goal Alex 77'
  • yellowcard Gianluigi Donnarumma 83'
  • goal Giacomo Bonaventura 93'

Form Data

AC Milan 1 - 3 Dortmund
AC Milan 1 - 0 Fiorentina
Lecce 2 - 2 AC Milan
AC Milan 2 - 1 PSG
AC Milan 0 - 1 Udinese
Napoli 2 - 2 AC Milan
Frosinone 2 - 1 Genoa
Inter Milan 2 - 0 Frosinone
Frosinone 2 - 1 Empoli
Torino 1 - 2 Frosinone
Cagliari 4 - 3 Frosinone
Bologna 2 - 1 Frosinone