Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 10

Oct 29, 2023 at 11.30am UK

Sardegna Arena

Cagliari
4 - 3
Frosinone

Oristanio (72'), Makoumbou (76'), Pavoletti (90+4', 90+6')
Prati (58')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Soule (23', 37'), Brescianini (49')
Romagnoli (25'), Bourabia (85'), Okoli (87'), Marchizza (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Frosinone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions

Last Game: Salernitana 2-2 Cagliari
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Frosinone

All competitions

Last Game: Bologna 2-1 Frosinone
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.

Result
Cagliari	Draw	Frosinone
37.18% ( 0.05)	27.23% ( -0.04)	35.6% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 50.17% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.7% (

0.15)

55.3% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.48% (

0.13)

76.52% (

-0.12)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.31% (

0.1)

28.69% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.49% (

0.13)

64.51% (

-0.12)

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.35% (

0.07)

29.65% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.3% (

0.09)

65.7% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Cagliari 37.17%

Frosinone 35.59%

Draw 27.23%

Cagliari	Draw	Frosinone
1-0 @ 10.62% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.63% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 37.17%	1-1 @ 12.91% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.23%	0-1 @ 10.34% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.85% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.55% 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 35.59%