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Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 29, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Sardegna Arena
Frosinone logo

Cagliari
4 - 3
Frosinone

Oristanio (72'), Makoumbou (76'), Pavoletti (90+4', 90+6')
Prati (58')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Soule (23', 37'), Brescianini (49')
Romagnoli (25'), Bourabia (85'), Okoli (87'), Marchizza (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Frosinone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salernitana 2-2 Cagliari
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 2-1 Frosinone
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Cagliari 1-2 Frosinone

Cagliari's woes could continue into November, as the Sardinian side are set for a seventh Serie A defeat of the season; they have a sieve-like defence and can be caught out by Frosinone's bright attacking talents more than once. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawFrosinone
37.18% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 27.23% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 35.6% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.17% (0.123 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.7% (0.153 0.15)55.3% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.48% (0.126 0.13)76.52% (-0.123 -0.12)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.31% (0.10300000000001 0.1)28.69% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.49% (0.126 0.13)64.51% (-0.123 -0.12)
Frosinone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.35% (0.072000000000003 0.07)29.65% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.3% (0.087999999999994 0.09)65.7% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 37.17%
    Frosinone 35.59%
    Draw 27.23%
CagliariDrawFrosinone
1-0 @ 10.62% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.06% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.63% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.36% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.76% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.04% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.05% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 37.17%
1-1 @ 12.91% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.51% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.9% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.23%
0-1 @ 10.34% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.85% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.18% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.55%
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.97% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 35.59%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Frosinone

Cagliari
27.6%
Draw
20.7%
Frosinone
51.7%
29
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 3.15pm
Nov 27, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 14
Frosinone
2-2
Cagliari
Rohden (32'), Insigne (67')
Luvumbo (14'), Lapadula (90+7' pen.)
Apr 20, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 33
Cagliari
1-0
Frosinone
Pedro (27' pen.)
Farago (57'), Pedro (82')
Farago (79')

Ciano (90')
Dec 2, 2018 2pm
Gameweek 14
Frosinone
1-1
Cagliari
Cassata (14')
Cassata (32')
Farias (77')
Ceppitelli (34'), Bradaric (37'), Srna (40'), Barella (54'), Pavoletti (60'), Farias (90')
Barella (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan33275179186186
2AC Milan34217664392570
3Juventus341811547262165
4Bologna331711548262262
5Roma33177959392058
6Lazio34174134335855
7Atalanta BCAtalanta321661059372254
8Napoli331310105041949
9Fiorentina32138114536947
10Torino33111393129246
11Monza341111123644-844
12Genoa33912123540-539
13Lecce34812143149-1836
14CagliariCagliari33711153656-2032
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona34710173145-1431
16FrosinoneFrosinone34710174363-2031
17Empoli3387182648-2231
18Udinese33416133150-1928
19SassuoloSassuolo3368193965-2626
RSalernitana3429232673-4715


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