Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 48.73%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 25.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.28%) and 1-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Salernitana | Draw | Cagliari |
| 25.16% ( | 26.11% ( | 48.73% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.7% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.11% ( | 54.89% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.82% ( | 76.18% ( |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.88% ( | 37.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.09% ( | 73.91% ( |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.45% ( | 22.55% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.86% ( | 56.14% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Salernitana | Draw | Cagliari |
| 1-0 @ 8.3% ( 2-1 @ 6.12% ( 2-0 @ 4.11% ( 3-1 @ 2.02% ( 3-2 @ 1.51% ( 3-0 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 1.74% Total : 25.16% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0-0 @ 8.37% ( 2-2 @ 4.56% ( Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 12.46% ( 0-2 @ 9.28% ( 1-2 @ 9.2% ( 0-3 @ 4.61% ( 1-3 @ 4.57% ( 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0-4 @ 1.72% ( 1-4 @ 1.7% ( Other @ 2.92% Total : 48.73% |