Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 8

Oct 8, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stadio Benito Stirpe

Frosinone
2 - 1
Hellas Verona

Jesus (45+1'), Soule (66')
Okoli (30')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Djuric (90+4')
Coppola (28'), Duda (39'), Amione (40'), Suslov (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Frosinone and Hellas Verona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Frosinone

All competitions

Last Game: Roma 2-0 Frosinone
Sunday, October 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hellas Verona

All competitions

Last Game: Torino 0-0 Hellas Verona
Monday, October 2 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Frosinone in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Frosinone.

Result
Frosinone	Draw	Hellas Verona
43.91% ( -0.32)	26.37% ( 0.05)	29.72% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 51.15% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.72% (

-0.07)

53.28% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.17% (

-0.06)

74.83% (

0.06)

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.88% (

-0.19)

24.12% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.58% (

-0.27)

58.42% (

0.27)

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.41% (

0.17)

32.59% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.87% (

0.19)

69.13% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Frosinone 43.91%

Hellas Verona 29.72%

Draw 26.37%

Frosinone	Draw	Hellas Verona
1-0 @ 11.18% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.66% Total : 43.91%	1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.37%	0-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.6% Total : 29.72%