Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 49.59%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 25.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.
Result | ||
Frosinone | Draw | Empoli |
49.59% ( 0.89) | 24.66% ( 0.54) | 25.75% ( -1.44) |
Both teams to score 53.6% ( -3.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.29% ( -3.43) | 48.71% ( 3.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.18% ( -3.2) | 70.82% ( 3.2) |
Frosinone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.33% ( -0.98) | 19.67% ( 0.98) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.34% ( -1.63) | 51.65% ( 1.62) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.73% ( -2.94) | 33.27% ( 2.94) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.12% ( -3.38) | 69.88% ( 3.37) |
Score Analysis |
Frosinone | Draw | Empoli |
1-0 @ 10.64% ( 1.14) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.68) 3-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.33) 4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.18) Other @ 2.93% Total : 49.59% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.37) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.88) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.44) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.22) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.66% | 0-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.44) 1-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.32) 0-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.33) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.34) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.4% Total : 25.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
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