Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Everton had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.71%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Everton win was 2-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Chelsea |
| 34.51% ( | 25.04% ( | 40.46% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.32% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.9% ( | 46.1% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.6% ( | 68.4% ( |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.13% ( | 25.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.14% ( | 60.86% ( |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.33% ( | 22.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.68% ( | 56.32% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton | Draw | Chelsea |
| 2-1 @ 7.96% ( 1-0 @ 7.93% ( 2-0 @ 5.36% ( 3-1 @ 3.59% ( 3-2 @ 2.66% ( 3-0 @ 2.42% ( 4-1 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 3.39% Total : 34.51% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0-0 @ 5.87% ( 3-3 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.04% | 1-2 @ 8.73% ( 0-1 @ 8.71% ( 0-2 @ 6.46% ( 1-3 @ 4.32% ( 0-3 @ 3.2% ( 2-3 @ 2.92% ( 1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0-4 @ 1.19% ( 2-4 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.25% Total : 40.46% |