FA Cup
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-
Isaiah Jones
23'
-
Ezri Konsa
37'
-
Leon Bailey
40'
-
Matty Cash
74'
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Nicolo Zaniolo
80'
-
Clement Lenglet
82'
-
Matty Cash
87'
Middlesbrough vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.46%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
Result
Middlesbrough
40.42%
▲
(+0.29)
Draw
24.01%
▲
(+0.06)
Aston Villa
35.57%
▼
(-0.35)
Both Teams to Score:
61.24%
▼
(-0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5
58.92%
▼
(-0.33)
Under 2.5
41.08%
▲
(+0.34)
Over 3.5
36.53%
▼
(-0.34)
Under 3.5
63.47%
▲
(+0.34)
Over 4.5
19.42%
▼
(-0.26)
Under 4.5
80.58%
▲
(+0.26)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5
79.47%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
20.52%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
46.97%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
53.03%
▲
(+0.02)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5
77.06%
▼
(-0.34)
Under 0.5
22.94%
▲
(+0.34)
Over 1.5
43.28%
▼
(-0.50)
Under 1.5
56.71%
▲
(+0.50)
Score analysis
Middlesbrough
40.42%
Draw
24%
Aston Villa
35.57%
Middlesbrough
2-1
@
8.69%
▲
(+0.05)
1-0 @ 7.46% ▲ (+0.12)
2-0 @ 5.9% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 4.59% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 40.42%
1-0 @ 7.46% ▲ (+0.12)
2-0 @ 5.9% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 4.59% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 40.42%
Draw
1-1
@
10.97%
▲
(+0.06)
2-2 @ 6.4% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 4.71% ▲ (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 24%
2-2 @ 6.4% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 4.71% ▲ (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 24%
Aston Villa
1-2
@
8.08%
▼
(-0.05)
0-1 @ 6.93% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 5.1% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.97% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 3.14% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.04)
1-4 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.04)
2-4 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 35.57%
0-1 @ 6.93% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 5.1% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.97% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 3.14% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.04)
1-4 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.04)
2-4 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 35.57%
Head to Head
Championship
Gameweek
38
-
Anwar El-Ghazi
28'
-
John McGinn
44'
-
Albert Adomah
88'
-
John Obi Mikel
56'
Championship
Gameweek
20
-
George Friend
71'
-
James Chester
20'
-
Tammy Abraham
65'
-
Glenn Whelan
83'
Championship Playoffs
-
Robert Snodgrass
34'
-
Alan Hutton
45'
-
Jack Grealish
60'
-
Sam Johnstone
87'
-
George Friend
13'
-
Muhamed Besic
80'
Championship Playoffs
-
George Friend
45'
-
Ben Gibson
49'
-
Conor Hourihane
13'
-
Mile Jedinak
15'
-
Robert Snodgrass
75'
Championship
-
Grant Leadbitter
15'
-
George Friend
67'
-
Stewart Downing
90'
-
Conor Hourihane
24'
-
Josh Onomah
30'
-
Tommy Elphick
45'
-
James Chester
62'
-
Robert Snodgrass
76'
EFL Cup
-
Tommy Elphick
17'
-
Tommy Elphick
58'
-
Patrick Bamford
58'
-
Patrick Bamford
67'
-
Jonny Howson
72'