Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Brentford win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Aston Villa in this match.
| Result | ||
| Brentford | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 35.97% ( | 24.29% ( | 39.74% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.26% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.61% ( | 42.39% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.2% ( | 64.8% ( |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.67% ( | 23.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.72% ( | 57.28% ( |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.59% ( | 21.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.59% ( | 54.41% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Brentford | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 1-0 @ 7.27% ( 2-0 @ 5.29% ( 3-1 @ 3.96% ( 3-2 @ 3.05% ( 3-0 @ 2.57% ( 4-1 @ 1.44% ( 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 4-0 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.2% Total : 35.97% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( 2-2 @ 6.28% ( 0-0 @ 5% ( 3-3 @ 1.57% ( Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.29% | 1-2 @ 8.64% ( 0-1 @ 7.7% ( 0-2 @ 5.93% ( 1-3 @ 4.44% ( 2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0-3 @ 3.05% ( 1-4 @ 1.71% ( 2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0-4 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 2.63% Total : 39.74% |