Premier League
Gameweek
19
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-
Alejandro Garnacho
59'
-
Alejandro Garnacho
71'
-
Bruno Fernandes
73'
-
Rasmus Hojlund
82'
-
John McGinn
21'
-
Leander Dendoncker
26'
-
Jacob Ramsey
45'+2'
-
Diego Carlos
74'
-
Ezri Konsa
87'
Manchester United vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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News
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News
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The match
Result
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Team News
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Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Injuries & Suspensions
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 35.48% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.35%) and 2-0 (5.47%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
Result
Manchester United
41.56%
▼
(-0.16)
Draw
22.96%
▼
(-0.02)
Aston Villa
35.48%
▲
(+0.18)
Both Teams to Score:
65.19%
▲
(+0.10)
Goals
Over 2.5
64.07%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 2.5
35.93%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 3.5
41.98%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 3.5
58.02%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 4.5
23.75%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 4.5
76.25%
▼
(-0.10)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5
82.14%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 0.5
17.86%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
51.37%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
48.63%
▲
(+0.04)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5
79.37%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 0.5
20.64%
▼
(-0.14)
Over 1.5
46.8%
▲
(+0.23)
Under 1.5
53.2%
▼
(-0.22)
Score analysis
Manchester United
41.56%
Draw
22.96%
Aston Villa
35.48%
Manchester United
2-1
@
8.63%
▼
(-0.03)
1-0 @ 6.35% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 5.47% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.96% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.91% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.14% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.68% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 41.56%
1-0 @ 6.35% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 5.47% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.96% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.91% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.14% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.68% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 41.56%
Draw
1-1
@
10.02%
▼
(-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.81% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.96%
2-2 @ 6.81% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.96%
Aston Villa
1-2
@
7.91%
▲
(+0.02)
0-1 @ 5.82% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.59% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.16% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.58% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 35.48%
0-1 @ 5.82% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.59% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.16% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.58% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 35.48%
Head to Head
Premier League
Gameweek
34
-
Bruno Fernandes
39'
EFL Cup
-
Anthony Martial
49'
-
Marcus Rashford
67'
-
Bruno Fernandes
78'
-
Scott McTominay
90'+1'
-
Ollie Watkins
48'
-
Diogo Dalot
61'
(OG)
Premier League
Gameweek
15
-
Leon Bailey
7'
-
Lucas Digne
11'
-
Jacob Ramsey
49'
-
Jacob Ramsey
45'
(OG)
Club Friendlies 1
-
Jadon Sancho
25'
-
Matty Cash
42'
-
Tahith Chong
78'
-
Eric Bailly
90'+2'
-
Philippe Coutinho
13'
-
Leon Bailey
49'
-
John McGinn
51'
-
Calum Chambers
90'+3'
Premier League
Gameweek
22
-
Lucas Digne
27'
-
Jacob Ramsey
77'
-
Philippe Coutinho
81'
-
Bruno Fernandes
6'
-
Nemanja Matic
31'
-
Bruno Fernandes
46'
-
Bruno Fernandes
67'
FA Cup
-
Scott McTominay
8'
-
Fred
65'
-
Luke Shaw
68'
-
Diogo Dalot
70'
-
Jacob Ramsey
12'
Form Data
Build-up
Team News
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News
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