Champions League
Dec 12, 2023 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Old Trafford
  • Antony 53' yellowcard
  • Sofyan Amrabat 61' yellowcard
  • goal Kingsley Coman 71'
  • yellowcard Leon Goretzka 88'

Manchester United vs Bayern Munich - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

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Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Nov 29, 2023 5.45pm
Galatasaray 3 - 3 Man Utd

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Nov 29, 2023 8.00pm
Bayern 0 - 0 Copenhagen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.69%) and 2-3 (4.92%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 2-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result

Manchester United 32.97% (-0.01)
Draw 21.07% (+0.01)
Bayern Munich 45.96% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

71.76% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 72.92% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 27.08% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 52.41% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 47.59% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 32.98% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 67.01% (+0.02)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5 82.26% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 17.74% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 51.58% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 48.42% (+0.02)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5 87.24% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 12.76% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 60.97% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 39.03% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Manchester United 32.97%
Draw 21.07%
Bayern Munich 45.96%
Manchester United
2-1 @ 6.97% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 4.14% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.02%
1-0 @ 3.91% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.39% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.95%
4-2 @ 1.79% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.74%
4-3 @ 1.23% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 32.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.06% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 7.17%
3-3 @ 2.84% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.26% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 21.07%
Bayern Munich
1-2 @ 8.3% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.69%
2-3 @ 4.92% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.8% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 4.66% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.29% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.93% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 2.53% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.7%
3-4 @ 1.46% (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.21%
2-5 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 45.96%

Head to Head

Champions League
Sep 20, 2023 8.00pm
4
3
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Arena
  • Leroy Sane 28' goal
  • Serge Gnabry 32' goal
  • Harry Kane 53' goal
  • Leon Goretzka 62' yellowcard
  • Mathys Tel 90'+2' goal
  • goal Rasmus Hojlund 49'
  • yellowcard Lisandro Martinez 62'
  • goal Casemiro 88'
  • goal Casemiro 90'+5'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Aug 5, 2018 7.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Arena
  • Javi Martinez 59' goal
  • Jerome Boateng 69' yellowcard
Champions League
Apr 9, 2014 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mario Mandzukic 59' goal
  • Thomas Muller 68' goal
  • Rafinha 74' yellowcard
  • Arjen Robben 76' goal
  • yellowcard Nemanja Vidic 27'
  • goal Patrice Evra 57'
  • yellowcard Patrice Evra 70'
Champions League
Apr 1, 2014 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Antonio Valencia 15' yellowcard
  • Nemanja Vidic 58' goal
  • yellowcard Bastian Schweinsteiger 61'
  • goal Bastian Schweinsteiger 66'
  • yellowcard Mario Mandzukic 82'
  • yellowcard Javi Martinez 89'
  • redcard Bastian Schweinsteiger 90'

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