Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.69%) and 2-3 (4.92%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 2-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.