Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 12

Nov 24, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

RheinEnergieStadion

FC Koln
0 - 1
Bayern

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kane (20')
Maxim Choupo-Moting (52')

The Match

Match Report

Harry Kane breaks two fresh goalscoring records with the only goal of the game as Bayern Munich beat Koln 1-0 to move top of the Bundesliga table.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Koln

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-1 FC Koln
Saturday, November 11 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Bayern 4-2 Heidenheim
Saturday, November 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 55.96%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 23.51% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.95%) and 1-3 (6.79%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 2-1 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
FC Koln	Draw	Bayern Munich
23.51% ( -0.01)	20.52% ( -0)	55.96% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 65.63% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.23% (

-0)

31.76% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.71% (

-0)

53.29% (

-0)

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.15% (

-0.01)

25.85% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.18% (

-0.01)

60.82% (

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.51% (

11.48% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.66% (

36.33% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

FC Koln 23.51%

Bayern Munich 55.96%

Draw 20.52%

FC Koln	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 5.88% ( -0) 1-0 @ 4.02% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.72% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.65% 3-0 @ 1.23% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.19% Total : 23.51%	1-1 @ 8.69% 2-2 @ 6.36% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.97% 3-3 @ 2.07% ( -0) Other @ 0.43% Total : 20.52%	1-2 @ 9.41% 0-2 @ 6.95% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.79% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.42% 0-3 @ 5.02% ( 0) 2-3 @ 4.59% 1-4 @ 3.67% 0-4 @ 2.71% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.48% 1-5 @ 1.59% 0-5 @ 1.18% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1.12% 2-5 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.97% Total : 55.96%