Bundesliga
Gameweek
9
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-
Timo Werner
15'
-
Mohamed Simakan
19'
-
Marco Rose
36'
-
Lois Openda
40'
-
David Raum
43'
-
Lois Openda
45'+3'
-
Lukas Klostermann
79'
-
Benjamin Sesko
88'
-
Christoph Baumgartner
90'+1'
-
Julian Chabot
29'
-
Mathias Olesen
72'
-
Mathias Olesen
80'
-
Steffen Baumgart
82'
-
Luca Kilian
85'
RB Leipzig vs FC Koln - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 56%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 22.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
Result
RB Leipzig
56%
▲
(+0.26)
Draw
21.64%
▼
(-0.06)
FC Koln
22.36%
▼
(-0.20)
Both Teams to Score:
59.84%
▼
(-0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5
61.35%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 2.5
38.64%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 3.5
39.05%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 3.5
60.94%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 4.5
21.38%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 4.5
78.61%
▼
(-0.03)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5
86.27%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 0.5
13.72%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 1.5
59.02%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 1.5
40.98%
▼
(-0.18)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5
69.36%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 0.5
30.64%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 1.5
33.11%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 1.5
66.88%
▲
(+0.19)
Score analysis
RB Leipzig
56%
Draw
21.64%
FC Koln
22.36%
RB Leipzig
2-1
@
9.81%
▲
(+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.35% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.29% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 6.49% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 5.49% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.84%
4-1 @ 3.22% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 56%
1-0 @ 8.35% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.29% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 6.49% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 5.49% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.84%
4-1 @ 3.22% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 56%
Draw
1-1
@
9.88%
▼
(-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.8% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.21% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.64%
2-2 @ 5.8% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.21% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.64%
FC Koln
1-2
@
5.84%
▼
(-0.04)
0-1 @ 4.97% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 22.36%
0-1 @ 4.97% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 22.36%
Head to Head
Bundesliga
Gameweek
19
Bundesliga
Gameweek
2
-
Timo Werner
36'
-
Dominik Szoboszlai
45'+1'
-
Christopher Nkunku
56'
-
Benjamin Henrichs
89'
-
Jan Thielmann
18'
-
Florian Dietz
40'
-
Timo Hubers
48'
-
Josko Gvardiol
72'
(OG)
-
Sargis Adamyan
76'
-
Florian Kainz
79'
Bundesliga
Gameweek
22
-
Christopher Nkunku
25'
-
Dani Olmo
54'
-
Angelino
57'
-
Josko Gvardiol
62'
-
Jan Thielmann
9'
-
Timo Hubers
35'
-
Tim Lemperle
90'+1'
Bundesliga
Gameweek
5
-
Rafael Czichos
17'
-
Anthony Modeste
53'
-
Jorge Mere
76'
-
Benno Schmitz
79'
-
Amadou Haidara
71'
-
Lukas Klostermann
76'
Bundesliga
Gameweek
30
-
Kingsley Ehizibue
23'
-
Jonas Hector
46'
-
Jonas Hector
60'
-
Rafael Czichos
90'+6'
-
Dayot Upamecano
56'
-
Amadou Haidara
59'
-
Kevin Kampl
83'
-
Amadou Haidara
90'+6'
Bundesliga
Gameweek
13
-
Marcel Halstenberg
84'